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Ovechkin now -480 to break Gretzky's goal record this season

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Alex Ovechkin is on pace to become the all-time leading goal scorer in NHL history. 

According to the odds at FanDuel we could see Wayne Gretzky’s record of 894 goals fall sooner than we all expected. 

Ovechkin is currently -480 to pass Gretzky during the 2024-25 regular season. 

That number represents an implied probability of 82.7 per cent. 

The 39-year-old opened as a 10-1 longshot to break the record this season, as he entered needing 42 goals to set the record. 

That number quickly was slashed to +270 on Nov. 4 after he scored seven goals in his opening 10 games. 

His odds to break the record got as low as +125 on Nov. 13 before a broken leg sidelined him for five weeks.  

Ovechkin is three goals away from breaking the record with seven games to go in the regular season.

Ovechkin Odds to break record Timeline

Date Odds Implied probability
 Open +1000 9.09 per cent
Nov. 4 +270 27.03 per cent
Nov. 13 +125 44.44 per cent
Dec. 31 +145 40.82 per cent
Jan. 30 +600 14.29 per cent
Feb. 9  +190 34.48 per cent
Feb. 24 -174 63.50 per cent
Mar. 3 -215 68.75 per cent
Mar. 14 -120 54.45 per cent 
Mar. 21 -188 65.28 per cent
Mar. 28 -114 53.27 per cent
Mar. 31 -170 62.96 per cent
April 3 -480 82.76 per cent
 

 

Betting Breakdown: The GR8 Chase

 

Wayne Gretzky: 894 

Alex Ovechkin: 891

Alex Ovechkin to Score 895th Career Goal During 2024-25 Regular Season (Breaks Gretzky's Record)

Prop Odds
Yes -480
No +320

What Team will Alex Ovechkin Score his 895th Career Regular Season Goal Against During 2024-25 Season?

What Team will Alex Ovechkin Score his 895th Career Regular Season Goal Against During 2024-25 Season?

Team Odds on Feb. 24 Odds on Mar. 14 Odds April 3
 Does Not Score 895th Goal During 2024-25 Season  +132 -108 +320
Columbus Blue Jackets  +550 +470 +175
New York Islanders  +670 +600 +320
Carolina Hurricanes +750 +850 +550
Pittsburgh Penguins  +1100 +1000 +900
 Chicago Blackhawks +1100 +1900 +3900
 Buffalo Sabres +1400 +6500 N/A
Boston Bruins  +1600 +4300 N/A
 Minnesota Wild +2200 +14000 N/A
 Winnipeg Jets +2500 +25000 N/A
Florida Panthers +4000 +25000 N/A
Philadelphia Flyers +6000 N/A N/A
Detroit Red Wings +6500 N/A N/A
San Jose Sharks +7000 N/A N/A
Anaheim Ducks +7500 N/A N/A
Los Angeles Kings +7500 N/A N/A