Mar 9, 2020
Last for Lafreniere: Draft Lottery Odds
Check out the odds for the 2020 NHL Draft Lottery based on the 2019-20 standing through games completed on March 3.
Ottawa fans held their collective breath going into the 2019 Draft Lottery. The Senators finished last in the NHL, with the Colorado Avalanche holding their first-round pick.
While Colorado didn't win the first-overall selection, the Avalanche did use the Sens' pick to take promising blueliner Bowen Byram fourth overall.
With the opportunity to take highly touted winger Alexis Lafreniere first overall, hope springs eternal in the nation’s capital this season with the Senators holding two lottery picks and a combined 23 per cent chance of getting the top pick with their own and San Jose's from the Erik Karlsson trade made in 2018.
The Detroit Red Wings are all but locked in with an 18.5 per cent chance of winning the lottery.
With this year’s NHL Draft being held at the Bell Centre, the Montreal Canadiens would love nothing more than to call out Lafreniere’s name in front of their fans, but there is just a 5 per cent chance of that happening.
The Winnipeg Jets are still in the hunt for a playoff berth, but they have just a 3 per cent chance at the No. 1 pick if the season ended today.
We've seen NHL teams Fail For Nail, Stop Winnin' For MacKinnon and Lose For Hughes. The race is on for Last for Lafreniere.
Here are the lottery odds (from 2019, as the 2020 odds have not been announced) for all 15 non-playoff teams, ranked according to point percentage. The NHL Draft Lottery will be held on April 9.
Standings through games completed on Mar. 11, 2020
DRAFT LOTTERY ODDS
RK | TEAM | GP | PTS | PT% | % CHANCE AT NO. 1 PICK |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Detroit | 71 | 39 | 0.275 | 18.5 |
2 | Ottawa | 71 | 62 | 0.437 | 13.5 |
3 | Ottawa (from San Jose) | 70 | 63 | 0.45 | 11.5 |
4 | Los Angeles | 70 | 64 | 0.457 | 9.5 |
5 | Anaheim | 70 | 67 | 0.479 | 8.5 |
6 | New Jersey | 69 | 68 | 0.493 | 7.5 |
7 | Buffalo+ | 69 | 68 | 0.493 | 6.5 |
8 | Montreal | 71 | 71 | 0.5 | 6 |
9 | Chicago | 70 | 72 | 0.514 | 5 |
10 | New Jersey (from Arizona) | 70 | 74 | 0.529 | 3.5 |
11 | Minnesota | 69 | 77 | 0.558 | 3 |
12 | NY Rangers | 70 | 79 | 0.558 | 2.5 |
13 | Nashville | 69 | 78 | 0.565 | 2 |
14 | Florida# | 69 | 78 | 0.565 | 1.5 |
15 | NY Islanders | 68 | 80 | 0.588 | 1 |
+Buffalo (28) holds the second tiebreaker (regulation and overtime wins) over New Jersey (24). Both teams have 22 regulation wins (first tiebreaker).
#Florida (30) holds first tiebreaker (regulation wins) over Nashville (28).