Jun 16, 2022
Morning Coffee: Updated Stanley Cup Odds After Avalanche Win Game 1
The Colorado Avalanche have gone wire-to-wire as the Stanley Cup favourite this season. Here’s the TSN EDGE Morning Coffee for Thursday, June 16th, 2022.
The Colorado Avalanche have gone wire-to-wire as the Stanley Cup favourite this season.
In Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final, they showed the entire hockey world that they deserve that distinction.
The Avalanche beat the two-time defending champion Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 in overtime in last night’s opener.
Colorado became the ninth team in Stanley Cup Playoff history to win Game 1 in all four rounds.
Each of the previous eight went on to win it all.
The Avalanche also became just the fifth team in NHL history to win 13 of their first 15 games in a single postseason.
Each of the previous four won the Stanley Cup.
Nobody is going to write off Tampa Bay after one loss.
However, after a dominant performance from Colorado in Game 1, the Lightning are getting just a 30.3 per cent implied Stanley Cup win probability based on the updated odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Here’s the TSN EDGE Morning Coffee for Thursday, June 16th, 2022.
Burakovsky The OT Hero For Avalanche In Game 1
Andre Burakovsky was the hero for the Avalanche with the overtime winner in Game 1.
Colorado closed as a -146 home favourite at FanDuel.
Late money pushed the total to 6.5 just before puck drop, and the over hit despite a scoreless third period.
The over hit on both team totals with the Avalanche at 3.5 and the Lightning at 2.5.
Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog and Valeri Nichushkin led the way for Colorado with two points each.
Rantanen to record 2+ points was +182 at FanDuel.
Landeskog 2+ points was +250.
Landeskog to score and Colorado to win was +285.
Nichushkin 2+ points was +360.
The Avalanche outshot Tampa Bay 38-23 in Game 1.
The expected goals was 3.52-2.22 in favour of Colorado.
If it wasn’t for the glaring goaltending disparity, the opener might have very well been a lot more lopsided.
Andrei Vasilevskiy turned aside 34 of the 37 shots he faced, including several outstanding saves.
Anybody that bet Vasilevskiy over 32.5 saves early on Wednesday cashed late in the third period.
Anybody that bet Vasilevskiy over 33.5 saves later in the afternoon and evening needed overtime to get there.
Meanwhile, Darcy Kuemper got the win despite making just 20 saves on 23 shots.
The over/under on his saves prop at FanDuel was 28.5.
Looking ahead to Game 2 on Saturday night, FanDuel has Colorado at -144 on the money line.
Tampa Bay is currently +122 to earn the split on the road.
The total currently sits at six goals, but it’s juiced to the over at -120.
As for the adjusted Stanley Cup winner odds, the Avalanche went from -175 to -270 after taking a 1-0 series lead.
FanDuel moved the Lightning from +150 to +230.
Tampa Bay lost Game 1 in the first round against both the Toronto Maple Leafs and Game 1 in the Eastern Conference Finals against the New York Rangers, then went on to win the series.
In fact, they went down 2-0 to the Rangers and then won four straight to advance to the Stanley Cup Final.
As I mentioned off the top, nobody is going to write off the two-time defending champs following a Game 1 loss.
However, according to ESPN Stats & Info, no team in NHL history has ever trailed 2-0 in both the Conference Finals and the Stanley Cup Final in the same postseason and gone on to win the Stanley Cup.
All eyes will be on the Lightning to see how they respond in a highly anticipated Game 2 on Saturday night.
Can Celtics Avoid Elimination In Game 6?
The Boston Celtics are undefeated when facing elimination so far this postseason.
They’ll need another win tonight in order to keep their season alive.
FanDuel has Boston as a 3.5-point favourite for Game 6 of the NBA Finals tonight.
The Golden State Warriors are +136 to close out the series tonight on the road.
Only one team in NBA history has gone 5-0 when facing elimination in a single postseason.
The Celtics will need to match that record in order to win the title.
As for the adjusted NBA championship winner odds, the Warriors are now -400 at FanDuel.
Teams that take a 3-2 series lead in the NBA Finals are 39-9 all-time – an 81 per cent win rate.
The last team to blow a 3-2 lead in the NBA Finals was the Warriors in 2015-16 against LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Boston is +300 to win the championship at FanDuel.
Coming off consecutive losses for the first time since late March, it will be very interesting to see how the Celtics respond on their home floor.
Jayson Tatum and company have been at their best when their backs are against the wall, but in order to have a chance tonight they will need to hit their shots and cut down on the turnovers that have plagued them in this series.
While I lean Boston -3.5 for Game 6, I’ve run it back with the exact FanDuel Same Game Parlays I cashed with in Game 5 as my first two bets for tonight’s game.
The “Jayson Tatum floor off a loss SGP”: Tatum 25+ points, 6+ rebounds and 4+ assists is +100.
That exact same SGP paid +134 at FanDuel for Game 5.
Next, the “Andrew Wiggins please send Steph some help SGP” was easy money in Game 5.
I’ll run it back with Wiggins 15+ points and 6+ rebounds.
That SGP was -112 for Game 5, but it’s -146 for Game 6.
Argos Set For Season Opener Versus Als
The Toronto Argonauts will open their 2022 season against the Montreal Alouettes at BMO Field tonight.
FanDuel has Toronto as a 3.5-point favourite, which is a slight tick up from -3 on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, the total has also jumped up a couple of points from 47.5 to 49.5.
That number could continue to climb as it’s currently juiced to the over at -115.
We’ll be back with our CFL Week 2 preview on Twitter spaces at 12:30 ET today.
Make sure you give us a follow @TSN_EDGE and tune in for our best bets for Week 2 in the CFL.